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Well: Test Is Improved Predictor of Fetal Disorders

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 27 Februari 2014 | 13.07

A test that analyzes fetal DNA found in a pregnant woman's blood proved much more accurate in screening for Down syndrome and another chromosomal disorder than the now-standard blood test, a new study has found. The promising results may change how prenatal screening for genetic diseases is done, though the test is costly and generally not yet covered by insurance for women at low risk.

The study, published on Wednesday in The New England Journal of Medicine, found that the fetal DNA test was 10 times better in predicting cases of Down syndrome than the standard blood test and ultrasound screening, and five times better in predicting the other disorder, Trisomy 18. It also greatly reduced the number of false-positive results.

It could prevent many women who would otherwise get the standard blood test from needing to confirm positive results with invasive tests like amniocentesis or chorionic villus sampling, which can be stressful, much more costly and carry small risks of miscarriage. "Nine out of 10 women who are currently being referred for further testing would not need invasive tests," said the lead author of the study, Dr. Diana Bianchi, the executive director of the Mother Infant Research Institute at Tufts Medical Center's Floating Hospital for Children.

A positive result on the DNA screening would still need to be confirmed with invasive tests, because in more than half the cases in which the newer test predicted a disorder, there was no chromosomal abnormality. But a negative result would provide confidence that these two major chromosomal disorders are absent.

"It's a better mousetrap, there's no doubt about that," said Dr. Michael Greene, director of obstetrics at Massachusetts General Hospital and co-author of an editorial about the study. "If the test is normal, the overwhelming probability is that your fetus is normal. There will be far fewer women who will be encouraged to have invasive testing, and, as a result, far fewer miscarriages."

The screen analyzes blood from women who are at least 10 weeks pregnant. At that point, about 10 percent of DNA in the blood will be fetal DNA from the placenta, Dr. Bianchi said.

Dr. Bianchi is a paid advisory board member for Illumina, one of the laboratories that performs the test, which is known as the cell-free DNA test because the fetal DNA floats freely in the mother's blood, not inside a cell. Illumina, which is based in San Diego, financed the study.

Dr. Greene, an associate editor at The New England Journal of Medicine, said that the study "would sort of be purer from an academic perspective if somebody else pays for it," but that companies are "the ones that are going to finance the research to get it to where it's marketable."

He added, "We can't have our cake and eat it too." He said the journal had rejected other cell-free DNA studies, but considered this one well done.

Experts said they expected the test would ultimately be offered to all pregnant women, but noted limitations. The test, costing $500 to $2,000, is not now typically covered by insurance for women at low risk for having babies with chromosomal abnormalities. Nor is it regulated by the Food and Drug Administration, because it is considered "laboratory developed," to be used by the lab that created them and not sold to other labs or companies, Dr. Greene said.

The test also appears to work inconsistently in very obese women. And it screens only for major chromosomal disorders and some sex-linked diseases.

"This is a very good screening test for what it's designed to screen for," said Dr. Ignatia B. Van den Veyver, a prenatal geneticist at Baylor College of Medicine. But, she added, "we're concerned that if women stop there, they miss the opportunity to have a diagnostic test like amnio that can detect other chromosomal abnormalities."

For now, this new technology, which became available in 2011, is primarily used for women deemed more likely to have babies with abnormalities because they are age 35 or older or have other risk factors. At least four companies offer the tests. Medical organizations have not recommended them for other women because of a lack of data showing they work in the general population.

The new study, which involved 1,914 pregnant women from diverse backgrounds at 21 medical sites around the country, is the first large study to evaluate the cell-free DNA screen in average American women. Most women in the study were younger than 30, had conceived naturally, and were pregnant with their first child.

Dr. Deborah A. Driscoll, a professor of obstetrics and gynecology at the University of Pennsylvania, who was not involved in the research, said that given this new evidence, "this should be a test that we can offer women universally."

The women received standard screening from their doctors, a blood test that identifies proteins or other biological markers associated with chromosomal disorders. Some also got ultrasounds examining the fetus's neck for fluid associated with Down syndrome.

Separately, and without knowing the results of the standard tests, technicians at the Illumina lab screened samples of the women's blood for three copies of chromosomes instead of the normal two, seeking to identify chromosomes for Down syndrome, and for Trisomies 18 and 13, often fatal disorders.

Researchers later checked whether babies were born with or without these conditions.

In the study, the rate of false positives for Down syndrome was 0.3 percent with the cell-free DNA screening, while the rate for standard screening was 3.6 percent, 12 times higher. The false-positive rate for Trisomy 18 was 0.2 percent with the DNA screening; the rate with standard screening was three times that. Not everyone received standard screens for Trisomy 13, so complete comparisons could not be made.

The DNA screen was correct in predicting Down syndrome 45.5 percent of the time, while the rate for standard screens was 4.2 percent. The DNA screen accurately predicted babies with Trisomy 18 almost 41 percent of the time, five times better than standard screening, whose rate was 8 percent.

The cell-free DNA screen worked equally well in first, second or third trimesters, and in high- and low-risk women." Since positive tests are often wrong, women should get positive findings verified with amniocentesis or C.V.S., experts aid.

"The greatest risk is that the test will be oversold or over-interpreted and that women won't take the step of an invasive diagnostic procedure before they do something irreversible like terminate a pregnancy," Dr. Greene said.

In the study, one of the five fetuses with Down syndrome was aborted, one of two with Trisomy 18 was stillborn, and the sole fetus with Trisomy 13 died in utero. The other five chromosomally abnormal babies were born alive.

Jennifer Fontaine, 29, of Groveland, Mass., was not in the study, but chose cell-free DNA screening last year after standard screening showed an elevated risk of Trisomy 18 in her fetus. She was offered amniocentesis, but she said, "I wanted the noninvasive procedure." Her DNA screen was negative for Trisomy 18, and her daughter, Morgan, was born healthy.


Andrew Pollack contributed reporting.


This post has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: February 27, 2014

An earlier version of this post misspelled the surname of a prenatal geneticist at Baylor College of Medicine. She is Dr. Ignatia B. Van den Veyver, not van der Veyver.


13.07 | 0 komentar | Read More

DealBook: Trading Site Failure Stirs Ire and Hope for Bitcoin

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 26 Februari 2014 | 13.07

The apparent collapse of Bitcoin's best-known and once-dominant trading platform has provoked outrage among its users, but it has also stirred hopes that the way may now be clear for more established players to transform and rein in a largely unregulated market.

Hours after it stopped trading without warning Monday night, the secretive Bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox said that it would "close all transactions for the time being in order to protect the site and our users." The action and brief statement left users wondering where their money went, amid accusations that as much as 6 percent of the Bitcoins in circulation were now missing — worth more than $300 million at current exchange rates.

Outside the offices of Mt. Gox in central Tokyo, disgruntled Bitcoin traders and their supporters held up signs that read "Where Are My Bitcoins?"

"I'm filled with disbelief," said Kolin Burges, a trader from London who flew to Japan this month after the exchange stopped paying out funds. "I was prepared for the worst, but it's hard to believe they might have lost their coins."

Protesters outside of the building in Tokyo where Mt. Gox is housed.Toru Hanai/Reuters Protesters outside of the building in Tokyo where Mt. Gox is housed.

Yet the unanswered questions about Mt Gox did not shake the faith of many in Bitcoin. With one of its earliest online marketplaces seemingly gone, the world of virtual currency may now be forced to become a more mature part of the financial system.

"I think it's a significant event, but I think there's a decent chance that it is part of what we would call this sort of shaking out of the industry as it matures and slowly becomes a little more regulated," said Benjamin M. Lawsky, New York state's top financial regulator.

Mr. Lawsky is not the only regulator trying to determine the next steps. Three commissioners from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission were at a meeting recently where Bitcoin was on the agenda, and the agency's lawyers are examining the regulators' options, according to a person briefed on the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity. Federal prosecutors in New York also are investigating potential legal violations that arise from use of the virtual currency.

Financial regulators around the world have weighed in over the last few months on how to oversee Bitcoin, with some countries, like Russia, banning it altogether, and others, like Germany, generally favoring the new technology.

The interest in Bitcoin is that its underlying technology holds the promise of allowing users to move money around the world without using an intermediary, thus lowering the cost of financial transactions.

Troubles at Mt. Gox have rattled the Bitcoin world before. A year ago, the exchange suspended operations for several hours, and Bitcoin trading nearly ground to a halt.

But since then some prominent venture capitalists have invested millions in new Bitcoin companies that are intended to provide more sophisticated platforms for virtual currency transactions. Many of those investors went public on Tuesday to declare their continued confidence in the technology.

Cameron Winklevoss, an early Bitcoin proponent who, along with his brother, Tyler, owns about $64.1 million worth of the virtual currency, said that Mt Gox's closure "underscores just how far the Bitcoin ecosystem has come."

"Several exchanges have seamlessly picked up the slack and the market price has shown remarkable resilience," Mr. Winklevoss said in an email. "Mt. Gox is in the past, and the brightest minds in the room are hard at work building a responsible and secure future."

Such optimism was reflected in the oft-volatile price of Bitcoin, which rose on Tuesday after plummeting overnight. Tuesday evening, the price of a Bitcoin stood around $525, not far from where it was when the Mt. Gox news emerged Monday night.

"There's a little bit of a sense of relief that the whole thing didn't crumble," said Gil Luria, a managing director at Wedbush Securities, who has written research notes on Bitcoins. "Over the next few weeks and months, we're going to see new exchanges either gain prominence or emerge."

Many users of Mt. Gox had long ago given up on the company after numerous incidents in which it was forced to temporarily shut down.

At one point last year, Mt. Gox handled 80 percent of all Bitcoin transactions. But the exchange's market share began to significantly decline last year, when newer exchanges like Bitstamp in Slovenia, and BTC-e in Bulgaria, took its place, according to data from the Genesis Block, a virtual currency research firm.

A number of other early Bitcoin companies have also struggled recently. A few weeks before the problems at Mt. Gox, the founder of the popular early exchange BitInstant, Charles Shrem, was arrested and accused of helping to facilitate drug transactions on the now-defunct online marketplace Silk Road.

"There's definitely been a clear transition happening," said Greg Schvey, the Genesis Block's head of research.

Among the new, more experienced companies entering the space is SecondMarket, which runs an exchange for the buying and selling shares of private companies. On Monday, as Mt. Gox was preparing to go offline, SecondMarket announced its plans to start a new, regulated Bitcoin exchange for major banks. Until now, virtually all Bitcoin exchanges have allowed anyone to sign up and trade, which has made them harder to police.

Companies dedicated to being more regulator-friendly for consumers and merchants, like BitPay, Coinbase and Circle, have also grown in number and size. BitPay, for example, is currently working with 24,000 merchants to take payments in Bitcoin, up from 10,000 last September and 1,000 in 2012, according to a spokeswoman. Last year, BitPay processed $110 million to $120 million in transactions.

Some early Bitcoin adopters have been uncomfortable with the involvement of banks and regulators in a virtual currency whose early appeal was its apparent freedom from any central bank or government. But many of the new Bitcoin companies have said that virtual currencies will have to face more regulation if they want to be widely used.

"I think it's important always to know what the rules of the game are," said Steve Hanke, a professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University.

In Japan, financial regulators have so far declined to step in to help Mt. Gox customers, saying the virtual coins are a traded product, not a currency, and therefore remain outside of their purview.

Tibanne, the company that operates Mt. Gox out of Tokyo, according to the local registry office, has told other Bitcoin companies that it is planning to file for bankruptcy, according to John O'Brien, a spokesman for a coalition of Bitcoin companies that has been responding to the problems.

A bankruptcy administrator could distribute Mt. Gox's assets — any remaining Bitcoins plus any nonvirtual cash — to its creditors, a process that could take a year or more. But the company could also be acquired, given the value of its customer list and name recognition.

Even those who fear they have lost money they held with Mt. Gox remained enthusiastic on Tuesday about the potential of virtual currencies.

"My thoughts and my heart also go out to all of those others in the community who lost a lot more than me today," said Rick Falkvinge, the 42-year-old founder of the Pirate political party based in Sweden. Despite losing what he said was $80,000 in Mt. Gox, Mr. Falkvinge said that he remained "absolutely bullish on Bitcoin."

Hiroko Tabuchi and Ben Protess contributed reporting.

A version of this article appears in print on 02/26/2014, on page B1 of the NewYork edition with the headline: Trading Site Failure Stirs Ire and Hope for Bitcoin.

13.07 | 0 komentar | Read More

Sinosphere Blog: Hong Kong Editor Whose Ouster Stirred Protests Is Reported Stabbed

Updated, 12:48 a.m. E.D.T. | The former chief editor of a Hong Kong newspaper whose dismissal in January stirred protests about press freedom in the semi-autonomous Chinese territory was stabbed Wednesday morning, the police said.

Kevin Lau, the former chief editor of Ming Pao, was stabbed with a knife by an attacker who fled with an accomplice on a motorbike, the Hong Kong police said. He was listed in serious condition at a local hospital, with his wife telling the South China Morning Post that he had been stabbed three times. The attack happened shortly after 10 a.m. as Mr. Lau was walking to his car in the Sai Wan Ho neighborhood.

Mr. Lau's ouster led to noisy protests by journalists and others who feared that his departure reflected the Chinese Communist Party's efforts to subdue the territory's independent media. Under Mr. Lau, Ming Pao investigated the death of a mainland dissident who many suspect was murdered despite his death being ruled a suicide, and it recently took part in an investigation by the Washington-based International Consortium of Investigative Journalists published in January that showed the relatives of several senior Chinese leaders, including President Xi Jinping and former Prime Minister Wen Jiabao, owned stakes in companies registered with offshore tax havens including the British Virgin Islands.

Francis Moriarty, the head of the press freedom committee of the Foreign Correspondents Club of Hong Kong, called the attack "shocking" and noted that it came after several less serious attacks on journalists in Hong Kong and just three days after a protest over concerns about press freedom in the territory.

"This is a serious escalation," he said.

Others called the attack disturbing no matter what the motive turns out to be.

"It doesn't matter what the motives are, it's just not acceptable,'' said Yuen Chan, a lecturer in journalism at Chinese University of Hong Kong, adding that she didn't have any information on why Mr. Lau was attacked. "There have been incidents where media people have been attacked, it's not the first one – it's very, very disturbing.''

In Sunday's demonstration, at least 1,600 people turned out to support press freedom in Hong Kong, with organizers citing such concerns as the recent dismissal of a popular radio host and claims by local media outlets that they are losing advertising from mainland Chinese businesses because of their editorial positions.

The attack on Mr. Lau comes as Hong Kong-mainland Chinese tensions have been building amid increasing fears over Beijing's widening political and cultural influence over the former British colony.

Starting in June, a series of large demonstrations are planned, including one to mark the 25th anniversary of the crackdown of the Tiananmen protests in Beijing and others to press demands for universal suffrage in electing the territory's leaders.

Michael Forsythe contributed reporting.


13.07 | 0 komentar | Read More
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